From the day he was sworn in, Obama's approval numbers fell from the inflated 65% on January 20th to a more realistic percentage of 55 by the beginning of March. Midknight Review sees this first "decline" as little more than a typical adjustment in public opinion. No one knew who this man was in the beginning. He used this popular anonymity to pass his Stimulus bill and the long forgotten $421 billion Omnibus bill - both chucked full of earmarks; both controversial; both accompanied by typical Obama promises of success and prosperity.
From early March to early June (three months), his approval numbers ranged between 53% and 58%. Health care was introduced and work on Cap and Trade was initiated as well as preparation for Obama's first annual budget proposal. The public was reeling from news that he and his Congressional friends had spent $9 trillion in the first 200 days of their administration.
His hold on the 55% bracket began to slip and a second decline presented itself. This would prove to be much more than an "adjustment." This free fall in voter approval would take him to and below the 50% approval mark by mid-July and his approval numbers have remained between 50% and 46% throughout August, September, October and, now, extending into the winter. His party has lost two extremely important gubernatorial elections (Virginia and New Jersey) and his two major pieces of legislation, health care and cap and trade, have been stalled in a fully controlled Democrat congress by a grassroots movement that began in the spring and has steadily increased in numbers and confidence. Obama and company wanted his signature legislation voted into law by mid July. Cap and Trade has been put off until next year and health care is seriously bogged down in the Senate. In that circumstance, the conservative grassroots has already won a major political battle. The passion of the health care debate will now be fresh on in the minds of the voting public , something Democrat strategists did not plan for in their effort to take over the American economy.
As far as his voter approval numbers are concerned, it appears that he is near the bottom on this Rasmussen chart. His approval percentages will not fall to zero, of course. Midknight Review believes the Obama new zero is somewhere below 45% and 42% on the Rasmussen chart. Keep in mind that Mr. Obama won the election with 7% of the popular vote. All of that margin and more was the result of strong showings with the youth vote and the black vote, but the primary factor was the independent vote. There has been a huge reversal with regard to approval numbers in the independent community. Approval percentages here have fallen from 76% to 46%.
It is apparent to this editor that Obama believes he can repair the damage done over the summer. The GOP has not been able to capitalize on his unpopularity and that, in and of itself, is a problem. Perhaps Mr. Obama is counting on the GOP's continuing inability to adjust to the demands of the new century and the changing demographics of our culture. The Grand Old Party will not continue without a marked change in leadership and the cultural/ethnic demographics of that leadership. In short, more women, more minorities, more Reagan and less of Gingrich, McCain, Graham and their willingness to ignore the Marxist agenda of the current crop of Democrat leadership.
A New Third Party?
The big question in all this analysis is this: how much of a role will the grassroots movement play in the next election. It is bi-partisan, conservative and beginning to appeal to ethnic voters. This movement is stealing political power from both parties and may play the role of an effective and dynamic third party. That is the untold story in all this. We may be witnessing the birth of a “third party” (in effect) that draws its leadership and congressional power base from existing and conservative leadership in both parties. Evidence of this interesting development is the fact that leadership in both parties is doing what it can to defeat this conservative grassroots influence. That is obvious with the Democrats but surprising true in the GOP as well -- witness Gingrich, McCain and Lindsey Graham’s recent complaints against the right wing.
Leaders such as Fred Thompson, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Dick Army, Michelle Bachmann and a host of conservative media pundits such as Rush, Malkin, Beck, O'Reilly, Huge Hewitt, Hannity supply the Conservative grassroots movement with all it needs to defeat the organizational army of the Obama Marxist movement -- conservative organization versus "community" organization -- the title fight of the new century is under way. No one saw Obama and his organization coming. No one saw the birth of a grassroots organization on the horizon, either. EXCITEMENT !!!!!! (11/14/09)
tags: gop inabilities, enough of newt, obamas new zero, marxist agenda, independent voter disapproves, 9 trillion spent in 200 days, incompetence, gop must change, the new third party,
